Watch Jonathan Harris share his work on mass storytelling. it is worth watching the 20 min version:

3 min Version http://www.poptech.org/popcasts/?viewcastid=202
20 min Version http://www.poptech.org/popcasts/popcasts.aspx?lang=&viewcastid=165
Audio Only http://wmarc001.bcst.yahoo.com/yahoo/harris.MP3

http://www.stanford.edu/dept/MSandE/people/faculty/sweeney/

Director, Precourt Institute for Energy Efficiency
Professor, Management Science and Engineering
Stanford

someday, powerpoints with bullet points will be banned...but it clearly has not hit yet. he started off with a graph ilustrating the use of various types of energy. he then slapped up a four square based on energy use and economic efficiency. he then plotted items in each quadrant. some were noted ranging from do-able today and others needing legislation.

ie introduce smart buildings, congestion pricing, optimized building construction; LED lighting; plug-in hybrids; behavioural change.

it proved that once again, the corporate world is already far ahead of the academic world. when will this parallel world stop!

his research institute is found at http://piee.stanford.edu/cgi-bin/htm/index.php?ref=home

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Malone

His new book will be ....... The Protean Corporation

disturbing trends in the corporation. he now realizes that the Virtual Corporation has happened faster than they ever imagined. he noted four trends
1. the second and third billions of mobile phone owners - they are a different breed.
2. the global wireless broadband web
3. the entrepreneurial society - the US might be the first society in which this is te basic tenant of the entire society. he feels that the loyalty structure will be to a newly defined group, rather than their local tribe. this will impact in fashion as well as stability.
4. a new generation

the gerat forces at work on the modern corporation
Centrifugal - technology, culture and demographics
Centripetal - human beings need socialization, commitment to a larger purpose, continuity and a sense of legacy. this last is the most important. people NEED to be part pf something bigger than themselves.

he was looking at his resume and he realized aht all of the companies that he worked for no longer exist. he felt remosrseful

Proto-corpoprations: craft guilds, market shops, trading companies
First corporations [17th C] the dutch east india company
the industrial revolution/English [early 19th]
Interchangable parts /American early [19th C]
Big Iron / Factory [mid 19thC]
Scientific Managment/Taylorism/Progressivism - [late 19th]
Corporate Era/divisionalization/Sloan [early 20thC]
Technology Corporation/HP [mid 20th C]
The Virtual/Adaptive/Wired Corporation [Late 20th C]

Opposing rends - greater autonomy of employees and heavier use of technology for decisions
other one is reduced management control and diminishing organizational structure

the central paradox today is: how do you remain fixed and enduring, while at the same time utterly flexible and adaptive? how do you become a shape shifter without loosing your identity and soul?????

in nature, every entity, even if it seems chaotic has a core.

tehre are three pats to a

the Core - permanent, slowly evolving, manages the culture and the health of the firm, lifetime employment, reports to the board, prevented from running corporation operations, the Immortals... the last one to turn off the lights who must be there after the 'maverick' CEO comes in and pushes out all of the corporate knowledge. their job is NOT to run the company, but to nurture the soul of the company. Most would find it excruciatingly boring.

The Inner Ring - the full-time employees, the guts of the traditional company, the managing and operating environment, they recruit and manage the cloud.

The Cloud - 90% of workers i the the contemporary company, composed of 'alternative employees' like part-timers and contractors, employment can range from minutes to hours, require quick acculturation to the company. the biggest challenge will be how to get these folks 'into' the company.... to help them understand how things work at the company.

THE COMPETENCE AGGREGATOR will be the next star. this will be a new profession that has the final realization of the capability to bring folks together to chase after new markets. Think of Silicon Valley as a company. they will be vital 'intrapreneur' of the corporation which search

The Protean Corporation will be a shape shifter. it will be fixed and yet in perpetual motion. it will have to be both public and private. it will have to be able to put assets in both sides. there will be new rules from the justice department that recognizes the real value of intellectual property that is the TRUE value, not just capital value. This will include the realm as well as both profit and non-profit.

just consider if the foundations from companies would be able to link to the core competence of the company.

the phones just are not ringing about the extermination of people. there seems to be more worried about the extinction of species, but not of the murder of people. yet today in the 21st century there seems to e a new movement that is indeed focused on the endangered peoples movements.

very compelling speaker.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Samantha_Power

Carlota Perez [http://www.carlotaperez.org/] gave a really interesting talk. it started off really slow and a bit over academic. then as she warmed up, the topic really started getting interesting. she made the point that every age has an important relationship between technological and social innovation. My notes below are a bit scattered. there were times when her powerpoints were so dense with text it was impossible to multi-task. the bottom line is to try to imagine what the internet will do to society.....do we know?

Age of steam – Victorian living – the British middle-classes establish an industry based urban lifestyle different from that of the rural based arisrocacy.
Age of steel – Belle Epoche -
Age of Oil – the American way of living
Age of Information – Perhaps the sustainable global lifestyles.

Taking a closer look at the American way of Life which emerged in the 1910’s.
It was essentially unsustainable. Interesting slides, but too much to summarize here.

Three of the may new directions of the current paradigm shift:
Homogeneity of mass production to moving to Diversity of ICT/Flexible construction which is adaptable and recognizing the potential of the ‘long tail’.
National economies moving to globalization. This is really about a global economy with differentiated national, supranational and local spaces.
Unavoidable environmental damage moving to capacity for environmental protection.

She went on to talk about the impacts.
Fabrication industries - One will be minimum energy and materials. Zero defects, zero resource waste. Design for low energy use in operation. Planned upgradeability rather than obsolescence. Disassembly, recycling
In the process industries – energy saving and intelligent process controls. Low enery processes by products seen as sources of value. Trend toward closed-loop systems. Custom made materials, development of nano-technology and biotech.
Products profile – more services than tangible products – return of pleasure in quality leisure, not in objects. Very high quality f products, small and multi-purpose.

CAR AS THE LAST RESORT.

Notions of luxury and good taste emerge at the top of the icome scale and spread by imitation

Health vs hygiene

Some interesting observations……
rising prices of oil and raw materials
visible effects of increasing global warming with a rising climate risk. These two things will result in a reording o the economies of production, transport etc.

she talked about the a variation of Utopianism vs Realism. she then then went on to talk about the two phases of technological revolution – the first is installation and the second is deployment.

We have to return to a focus on production. She argues that the current financial markets are essentially like holding knives to the throats of the firms. Wealth should be the focus not the distribution of ‘sharholder value’. Which is a bunch of bunk.

This was the session which I moderated. a challenge as the individuals presented a VERY wide variety of work and understanding of the theme.

Livia Tirone, Principal Architect, Tirone Nunes. Lisbon. talked about the framework of thinking about sustainability and buildings. she mentioned her work with the City of Lisbon to help them develop a better policy system for managing natural resources at a city level. [http://www.managenergy.net/actors/A7.htm]

Scott Moran, Manager, California Academy of Sciences. San Francisco. talked about the building which he is trying to get finished up. He was clearly very proud of this significant building. He noted that the systems which are part of its make-up depend heavily upon modeling, computation and connectivity. He also pointed out that they had to create a new department to bring the traditional building management team and the IT team together without disenfranchising either. [http://www.calacademy.org/index.php]

Kirsten Kurland, Professor, Carnegie Mellon, Pittsburgh. Gave a great presentation about data visualization and health/well-being. [http://www.andrew.cmu.edu/user/kurland/]

Volker Hartkopf, Professor, Carnegie Mellon. [http://www.arc.cmu.edu/cbpd/people/hartkopf_v.html] spoke of the importance of energy policy to national security.

William Hutchison, Executive Director, Intelligent Communities, Waterfront Toronto. [http://www.cipa.com/about/hall_fame/hutchison.html] Bill gave one of the most insightful presentations of the two days. His work focuses on the enabling of real projects with deep connectivity embedded in the planning. He gave an all too brief overview of his very impressive Waterfront Toronto project. [http://www.waterfrontoronto.ca/index.php?home=true]

i would summarize the session by saying that the importance of information access cannot be underestimated. all of the presenters had this as an underlying theme. If we have access then we can visualize and then we can assess and act. if not, we cannot make change. i found this to reinforce my own thinking about this.

ALL the presentations will be found at the portal with the following web address: www.connectedurrbandevelopment.org

Pete Worden. Director, NASA Ames Research Centre kicked off the closing keynotes. His talk was really great. He started by showing quite an impressive array of NASA satellites that are observing the earth. There are a number which are there to specifically look at the status of our planet. He then followed with a series of movies that illustrated planetary change. WOW were they cool! have to GO TO NASA WEBSITE TO FIND MOVIES of cloud cover and total precipitable water. The latter looks like a big smoky globe. He also showed the subsurface water currents and flows in our oceans. These looked like electric eels snaking their way around. you could see HUGE subsurface eddies off of the coasts.

Current activities are really around working on how to interact with the data – the hyperwall. Collaborative displays in order for groups of people to synthesize data is the way of the future.

With Ikhana, a predator airplane, is used to overfly an urban area, or the napa valley, to look at the data. One area that they are now focusing on is night light from cities. This is to look at energy useage and urban environment. Cyanobacteria is the first key to life. They are looking at how this ‘pond scum’ was able to thrive and survive. This year is the 50th anniversary of the founding of NASA.

Bill Mitchell. MIT. Now leading the Media Lab. He started out with three circles in an overlapping Venn diagram: ICT systems, Mobility systems, Energy Systems. They converge in the centre to make Smart Cities. He presented the City Car that they have developed over the past three/four years. They asked themselves the question; what can we get rid of and start all over? The thing is essentially a chassis which is a container to hold the batteries with four snap on wheels that drive the vehicle. It it anticipated to recharge based on induction. It has come really far since I saw it last. He drew up a series of ‘efficiencies’ that would be created by the car. One was the ability to pack in more vehicles, another is that the car becomes the energy storage system for the city [battery and induction] car based e-bay like auctioning of parking spaces.

One-way bicycle to the shopping market and then one-way car back from it.
They should be thought of like Mobility vending machines.

Excellent presentation. It is wonderful to see that this has really made such good progress.

NEED TO LOOK UP Wireless electricity research at MIT.

Gary Bridges. Sr VP IBSG. People and Processes. This weeks SCIENCE magazine is about Cities. This is really a parallel processing issue. We need to have lots of programs going on simultaneously all focused on the future of the city. He went on to talk about Innovation phases: Invention, Adoption, and Implementation. He believes that the most important part of his team at IBSG is the adoption.

The history of the world population is the history of energy. He showed a series of graphs which indicated the parity between population growth and energy consumption. Was not sure of the point. I think it is really more about the efficiency of a society in the conversion of an energy source rather than access to energy. Although, the latter is the real basis of economies.

this was a collection of individuals who spoke about different aspects of GreenIT.

Ms. TAE YOO, Sr VP, Corporate Affairs. Information is a common denominator across all domains and walks of life. This is the main driver behind our efforts.

Jared Blumenfeld. Director, Department of the Environment, San Francisco. Reviewed the development of their activism. Noted the huge gap between those that vision and those that implement. They spent two years figuring out their base-line. Their goal is to reduce greenhouse gas production by 20% by 2012. All municipal buildings must be LEED silver with priority permitting for LEED gold. 49% of the city’s CO2 emissions come from automobiles. The goal is to be a 100% emission free, electric public fleet. They will now also have plug-in electrics beginning in March. T-12 fluorescents have also been banned. They are also working for environmental justice – which is working hard to eliminate the worst polluters that are adjacent to areas of poverty. Green Jobs are a focus as well. They are going to look to figure out how much energy they really use and . Current recycling rate is a 69% today, should be zero by 2020. Electronic waste is also a focus. A $10.00 fee is now levied at the point of purchase for all screens. Talked about the postcode map. They have 1000 vehicles that run on alternative fuels. SF spends $600 million pa in purchasing stuff.

XRF scanner can now reveal what is in a product. it used to cost about $150,000, now only $15,000 which is making it possible for more groups to access the information about the content of a product. LEARN MORE ABOUT THIS

Dr. Joon Byeong Yoon. Director General Transportation, Seoul Metropolitan Government. The city made a Green Energy Declaration in April of 2007. Currently 28.5% of emissions come from transportation.

Federico Casenlago. MIT mobility lab.

Ronald Prins. Director, Dept of Environment, City of Amsterdam. Reported on the things that they are doing. One of these is the laying of fibre in the canals as well as the coal-gas pipeline network. He talked about the recent court case which the city one in the European Court. He states that Fibre to the home is the blackbone.

CUD Cities.
The first three have been: San Francisco, Seoul, Amsterdam
The next four will be : Madrid, Hamburg, Lisbon, Birmingham

The CUD program will be focused on
Teleworking
Telepresence
Home broadband
Shared offices
Remote services

Traffic Management
Smart congestion tax programs
Dynamic Traffic-flow control.

Public Transportation
IP enabled public transport
Transportation on demand
Intelligent, car-pooling, shared taxi/minibus

Municipals Co2 reduction
Teleworking
Transportation optimization
Clean ICT
Connected real estate

Smart communities
Active citizenship
Innovative Green Business Models

Connected Urban Development Global Summit
Nicola Villa , program leader for the CUD, opened with a short review how the CUD project came to pass. The fundamental problem is climate change and the city. ICT contributes about 2% of greenhouse gas emissions; about the same amount as the airline industry.

Mayor Gavin Newsom, City and County of San Francisco, spoke very passionately about the of the evolution of the interaction between Cisco and the City; a strong partnership.

John Chambers, Chairman and CEO, Cisco. Technology Innovation as a Drivers of Sustainable economic growth. He opened with a sort video from Bill Clinton. Leadership is the ability to make creams come true, not just to make dreams apparent.

The pillars of global competitiveness: Education; Infrastructure; Innovation / Market Transition; Supportive government; Collaboration

Catching market transitions has been the key to the success of Cisco. One of the undeniable realities of today - climate change is now no longer undeniable.

Sustainability is one of today’s most significant market transitions.. we have to paint a vision of what is possible. The key is the ‘and mode’ rather than ‘or mode’. He stated that all industries mst be part of the solution.
operations – how to operate
products - better, cleaner and leaner
architecture
employees – inspiring employees to action

new business models. CISCO is acting on the commitment. They have reduced their carbon load by 10% per employee. He talked about a recent global meeting which they had in which over 5000 attended with 3000 attending virtually from other countries.

Networks as a platform for sustainability.

Internet Phase 1 : transactional productivity
Oders over the internet, customer self-service, employee self-service, core vs context, out-tasking manufacturing. All of the bits were instrumental in productivity growth.

Internet Phase 2:
Collaboration and Web 2.0
Co-Labouring – working towards a common goal.
Technologies that enable user collaboration.

What can we do collaboratively that we could not do by ourselves????

CUD Cities.
The first three have been: San Francisco, Seoul, Amsterdam
The next four will be : Madrid, Hamburg, Lisbon, Birmingham

The CUD program will be focused on
Teleworking
Telepresence
Home broadband
Shared offices
Remote services

Traffic Management
Smart congestion tax programs
Dynamic Traffic-flow control.

Public Transportation
IP enabled public transport
Transportation on demand
Intelligent, car-pooling, shared taxi/minibus

Municipals Co2 reduction
Teleworking
Transportation optimization
Clean ICT
Connected real estate

Smart communities
Active citizenship
Innovative Green Business Models

PETER SCWARTZ opened the breakfast session with a short overview of what weak signals were all about. they are the little things which one should be able to pick up that give an indication that change is either occurring, or about to occur. PAUL SAFFO followed with his commentary that he is always looking for 'things that just don't fit' into the expected pattern. we then did an exercise in which our table was asked to make a list of those things/events which we note that 'don't fit' and could constitute weak signals. some of the things that we came up around the area of Values and Beliefs [which was our assignment] were:
1. Hamas blowing up the Gaza wall
2. multiple nation states
3. rise of intolerance
4. rise of multiple identities
5. desensitization to violence

we noted an interesting phenomina we branded the TOLERENCE TOGGLE. this was seen recently in Denmark. once known for its tolerence, it seemed to turn intolerent overnight.

i left before the end of the session.

The Energy Sector had its annual dinner high above Davos in the Shatzalp Hotel [www.schatzalp.ch]. It is a stunning venue at any time. The format of the dinner was simple: mill about and chat, sit down, three short talks, eat, responses, discussion, go back down the mountain. It was a fascinating and delightful evening. I was invited to be one of the responders.

JERRY LINENGER, US Astronaut and Mir Cosmonaut, spoke of his time in the station. he spoke of the visceral connection that you have when you are in space and looking down at the thin layer of blue which allows us to live on the planet. he is an amazing speaker who has a very important message.

BERTRAND PICCARD, physicist and balloonist, spoke of his flight. his current focus is on sustainable transport. he talked about the certainties, habits and assumptions that we make in life and how they related to a successful balloon flight. in flight you are a 'prisoner of the wind' which means that you have to 'change altitutde' to get new ideas and influences. 'Ballast is our old context.' so you have to get rid of some of that ballast if you are to move up to get a different wind that will take you in the direction which you need to go. he is currently focused on solar flight. he want to make an airplane which can circumnavigate the globe on solar power alone. a difficult task considering that night flight does not recharge the battery. he also stated my WEF take away about the difference between Dreams and Visions.....

DREAMS END WHEN YOU WAKE UP
VISIONS START WHEN YOU WAKE UP

VINOD KHOSLA - venture capitalist - His talk was all about 'how to make the impossible possible'. at the time i found him really difficult. but looking back at the evening and my notes, i think that he is/was really on to something. every time someone says 'thats impossible' then it is a challenge which could/must be met. he went on with 'what is possible, is what we believe is possible'. he continued with our four challenges to confront climate change:
1. replace oil
2. replace coal
3. replace steel
4. replace cement

he is working on the first one by funding four start-ups developing cellulosic methanol/biofuel technologies. he pointed out that in order for them to be successful, green technologies must be cheaper than unsubsidized oil. he feels that he will find a way in which to make a cell which can eat anything and excrete diesel. he closed with 'we need to think not outside the box, but rather outside the barrel.

The discussion at my table was broad ranging. in general, it was agreed that biofuels would be vital to the world's economy. however, the biggest problem was the creation of enough to satisfy the global thirst. it was agreed that the demand side had to be better managed, especially in consumer behavior and buildings. 'time is our opponent' was a great way to wrap this evening up.

the opening panel had quite a few luminaries on it. the most interesting for me were the following:

HENRY KISSINGER. Here was the man who i used to see on my black and white television when i was young. i know that he is a bit of a controversial figure. but, then again, who would not be in his position. you could have heard a pin drop in the room when he spoke. his deep gravely voice took command of the stage and room in an eerie way. he spoke to the need for our statesmen to better understand the parameters of a system to move towards goals. it was very insightful and made me think about the instant loss of diplomacy when one world leader stated 'you are either with me, or against me'. that black and white does not leave much room for negotiation.

JIANZHOU WANG - Chairman and CEO of China Mobile - He was a surprise. After noting that they are signing up over 8,000 new subscribers to mobile telephony a day, he started to talk about the environment. It is not often that one sees a Chinese man of his position speak openly with such passion. He talked about Climate Change and the need for action. It was impressive.

TONY BLAIR - talked about the need for a Palestinian State

JAMES DIMON - Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase - He really stretched credibility when he noted that "most corporations are good corporate citizens". Hard to believe much he said after that one.

I was ready not to be impressed; but i was. She was articulate and clearly a very smart person. She spoke to TURBULENCE and the need for optimism in the climate of anxiety that new pervades. She noted what she liked to call a new "American Realism" which has three goals:

1. to promote just economic development
2. to promote freedom and democracy
3. to promote diplomacy in problem solving

i find it interesting that she stated them in that order. She further referenced the increasing 'economic populism' and the 'need for more global democracies'. And she went on to discuss the relationships between the US and Russia as well as the US and N Korea and Iran. In all cases she noted that the challenges were political, not between peoples.

It was a good speech. Even though I was more impressed with her than i expected to be, I remain unconvinced by her messages. Actions speak far louder than words.

The meeting was officially opened by Dr Klaus Schwab in the afternoon. He shared the stage with the president of the Swiss Confederation and Federal Councillor of Home Affairs, PASCAL COUCHEPIN. Mr Couchepin gave the obligatory welcome and spoke of diluted risk.

They were followed by HAMID KARZAI and RAJENDRA PACHAURI. They were asked to speak about the two greatest threats in the eyes of the WEF: Terrorism and Climate Change. Karzai pointed out that the terrorism that he is observing in his country is not religious. he called it mutant extremism. Pachauri gave his stump speech again. both were well spoken and very heartfelt.

One of the most interesting sessions of the week took place on the first day. I could not blog it because my battery died and the room did not have any mains plugs at the tables. this session opened with the large room laid out with dozens of round tables with eight to ten chairs each. The moderator stated.....THIS IS THE FIRST TIME IN MY LIFE THAT THERE IS NO LIGHT AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL.

well, that got everybody's attention.....

our task was to determine what our table felt were the most important issues facing the global economy this coming year. i will simply list the issues that the various members stated....

a. fear of panic encouraged by the media
a. protectionism
a. aging of the global population
b. consumer confidence
b. inflation in emerging markets
c. loss of confidence by the general public
c. lack of transparency/disclosure
c. leadership crisis continues in US
d. mispricing of loans
d. fear, again
e. uncertainty
e. effects of connectivity
f. talent shortages
f. environment and energy
f. 2008....too late now to do much
g. oil price impact
g. intertwined concern regarding trade protectionism
g anxiety in the US coupled with absence of confidence in US leadership
h. risk of credit crunch
h. soverign wealth funds
i. spillover effect of current sub-prime crisis
i. anxiety reversal

we had a fascinating discussion around how to consolidate these... we felt that the impact of connective and collective fear would be the most impactful challenge for 2008.

The vote of the room resulted in the following...
18% Lack of co-ordinated responses and leadership
18% mismanagment of current sub-prime crisis
17% broad-based collapse of confidence in globalization
16% US recession
11% severe global credit crunch
8% over-reation to threat of recession
6% rise in energy and commodity prices
4% rise of protectionism
2% increase in wealth gap

Last year, Climate Change was voted to the be number one issue facing the world with a significant percentage lead. This year it has seeped into just about everyone's vocabulary. The summary is quite simple taken at face value - LEADERSHIP...where is it?

Imagine if you can access anyone at WEF. who would you want to speak to? why? why would they listen? would they? imagine if everyone at WEF could talk to each other......ever more than they do. David Kirkpatrick, from Fortune Magazine, opened the session with this question. It is an interesting one. Here we have arguably two thousand of the world's most powerful people gathered together. There must be a reason for them to be able to communicate more than they already do. This was the debate in a WorkSpace session.

The session was one of the best at WEF2008. it really challenged all of those in the room to consider what will make people want to use the WELCOME community? how could it be more than a platform? what is needed for this community to make a difference in the world?

we were given six roles to play...CEOs, Experts, Social Entr, Politicians, Chief Strategy Officer, The Planet. I happened to be in the CSO group. it was interesting to hear the range of views. I was not sure if anyone would use this system. Others were convinced of its merit. In any case, we all agreed in the end that it was worth trying.

In the room were the brains [and brawn] behind Sun, Wiki, Facebook, AMD, BusinessWeek......

this was the last session on saturday. i almost skipped it as my energy level was scraping along at an all time low. I am so glad that i participated. the energy level of the room keep ramping up thru the afternoon until it reached a crescendo with the final skits.....we had to act out the scenario for the interface.

Jerry Linenger - he talked about execution and his respect for those who do things. then linked his experience from the MIR. closed eco-systems really show the abuse. the other issue that bugs him is the lack of personal responsibility that many act around water. water is the essence of life; essence of exploration. the grand view and perspective that he had from space, really changed him forever. he feels that we must raise awareness of solvable problems. the key to this is to make one fieel that we are all in a closed eco-system as he experienced it.

lake michigan.

Maggie presented the issues. essentially two big circles: on is really about climate change adaptation, resource management and the other is the water sanitation and drinking [the taps side]. she called it three big drivers are people, prosperity and population. she reminded us that Water is LOCAL.

Dominique noted that the newspapers have picked up that Water is one of the two big messages coming out of this years Davos. he also pointed out that last year there was only one session on water and this year there are seven.

Peer B-L from Nestle gave a quick
as climate change became an issue for political action, water was overlooked. he offered that there are three issues which must be considered - nutrition, energy and environment. his concern is that working on climate change is damaging the work on water. water is a problem now, not one in 15 years or so. he emphasizd, again, that it is very local. he also emphasized the Call to Action document from the WEF. He pointed out that agriculture is vital to be part of the discussion and are too often absent.

After thinking about the big issues that are confronting us relating to water, we then were given a scenario in which to consider the situation if things continue as usual. we took a look at the issues which would be manifesting as well as the triggers to get movement. the issues were clumped into five groups:

Politics/Incentives/allocation
Agriculture - concentrate of four geographic areas
leadership - water as the global hero -
data/metrics
multi-stakeholder dialogue - actions: collect stories, rabble-raising, scenario planning

look up on youTube ----- the unchained goddess [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0lgzz-L7GFg]

John Chambers - CISCO - we feel that CSR is both the right thing to do and it is good for business. [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Chambers_%28CEO%29]

Peter Sands - Standard Chartered Bank - you have to make choices. we choose to ensure that it is relevant to our businesses and where we can make a difference.

Wang Jianshou - China Mobile - being a global company means that you take responsibility. 370 million subscriber base and 6 million additional per month with 60% coming from rural areas.

Indra Nooyi - PepsiCo - [Forbes most powerful woman in the world in 2006 + 2007] our company is all about performance with purpose. it is really about connecting with emotions. to unleash the emotions in a directed way. [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indra_Nooyi]

HRH Queen Rania - Jordan - Corporate citizenship is really about righting the wrongs of the rapid growth of the past few decades. there are two trends that are interesting. one is that causes are being chosen that align with the businesses so that they have real impact. the other is the fact that many are working in partnership and the importance of working in partnership with governments. in the Arab world we are developing a better appreciation of what good corporate citizenship can do for society. we have the advantage of having good citizenship part of the basic roots of our society. [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Queen_Rania]

Gordon Brown - UK - it is really all about partnerships and transparency.

notes of interest
......ONE of the big issues that arose was the question of who really OWNS the goals and is coordinating action.

.......PS stated that we have to remember that the company is really there to do their thing really well. the other things will then follow........[i am not so sure about this. i think that values must be part of the core of the company] we have decided to put millions into renewable energy and intends to make alot of money on it.

on-stage interview by Klaus Schwab....three questions
KS 1. what steps should be taken to reinsure that the global economy gets back to sustainable growth?

GB - it is a testing time for the economy and for those who believe in open-markets. especailly based on the underpricing of rish and then the aversion from risk. but even more impottanly is the uncertainty that people feel with the current situation. there are three possible reactions:
1. to resort to heavy handed regulation
2. to resort to protectionism
3. inaction or paralysis.

we have also to be very careful about the underestimating of the silver lining... action?
1. the encouragement of transparency - this helps to inform markets. there is a real problem with national oversight in a global market flow.
2. monitor and get fiscal policy right
3. be champions of free-trade and fight against protectionism

the challenge will be to show the world that we can indeed deal with this in a globally co-ordinated.

KS - 2. in order to achieve what you suggest, we need institutions..are they sufficient?
GB - the current insttutions were founded in 1945. they simply cant deal with the new problems. these are more than the sub-prime market problems, these are bigger problems like climate change, pandemics, the internet and expression, poverty. if we do not reform these institutions will become irrelevant

1. united nations reform. a rapid response agency that includes those who can rebuild civil society.
2. make an early warning system for the global economy
3. the world bank to incorporate the environment as well.

KS 3 how are we doing on the millennium goals?
GB - not well. the trajectories are all negative.

Ban KI-MOON - UN
Andrew Liveris - Dow Chemical
Peter Brabeck-Letmathe - Nestle
Neville Isdell - Coca-Cola
Fred Krupp - Environmental Defense

the session was opened by Ban Ki-Moon, Sect Gen of the UN. he began with a series of incidents relating water and war. essentially water shortages impede development and create conflict. climate change and water conflict will be mostly likely seen in 46 countries representing more than half of the world. water stress effects 1/3 of the US and 1/5 of Spain. the challenges of the reduction of the glaciers in the Andes is threatening millions. water stress threatens us all. no one in the world is immune to the effects of this stress. he noted that there is a new revolution in green economics.

PBL - water sustainability is now becoming an issue that is in the public eye. he notes that there is still time, but not long. he framed his understanding of the issue. this is the disparity in the world. an american eats 6000l/day, a european 4,500l/day. in South Africa, it has been established that every person has a RIGHT to 6000l/month. this is a right. to fill up a pool is not a RIGHT and should be paid for. the message is that we need to put a price on water. currently we essentially have water for free. it takes 9000l of water to make 1l of biodiesel. this is a REAL issue. he notes that you should allow.

a great example can be found in OMAN. it is a great example that is 4,500 years old. there are 3,000 individuals who has rights to water. they also must supply the mosque with water and they are required to maintain the supply system. it is the example that must be followed. there is a fair price and it is tradable.

AL - in 2005 Dow decided that corporate responsibility is important. he quoted a long list of actions that proved how good they are.

NI - he started with the acknowledgment that water is not yet on the global public agenda. last year there was only one session. now there are five. but still, it is not enough. the nexus between climate change and water needs to be recognized. Coke states that they will be Water Neutral in the future. they realize that they must ensure that they achieve this soon. if there is no water, they have no business. there is a triangle between water-food-climate change. this is an extremely complex issue. sadly, it seems that only simple solutions are being looked for. he observes a new coalition that is developing between the NGOs and businesses. water is not yet a crisis, and we need to engage before it becomes a crisis. Agriculture uses 70% of all water.

FK - the Romans had access to water and sanitation 2000 years ago that half the world's population do not have access to today. most of the issues are solvable. in the Sierra Nevada's rivers only flow at 5% of their natural flow. the Rio Grande is dry when it gets to Mexico. the reservoirs of Colorado are half-full. Lake Superior is down about 2.5 feet. the essential message is that we must all become more efficient in the way we use water. there must be caps placed on the use of water. he reinforced the market price mechanism for industrial users of water. we need to focus on human, eco-system and climate change all at the same time.

Sharp -
Aebisher - huge interest in Europe on the issue of Convergence. today the magnitude of convergence is huge - especially in the area of the life-sciences. this has been a real result of the genome mapping. systems biology, trying to simulate life, or micro-nanotechnology or metronics, devices to help the quality of life that might be even better than drugs, or micro-electrodes in the brain of a monkey walking on a treadmill are sent over the internet to japan to make a robot walk. another example is the blue brain project at the EPFL focused on modeling the entire 'CPU' of a human brain. you need a petaflop machine to do this right now. the model is almost ready. the real convergence is in the training of our new engineers or biologists.

Collins Jr - Metronic is the largest company in this area. one significant trend is Biotech + ICT. these devices can not only provide the therapy, but also do the analysis of the patient. ie the linking of insulin pumps with glucose monitoring. this allows the pump to deliver the right dose at the right time and the device can now be linked to a cell phone to alert of the crisis. they are working on sensors that will be implanted to alert of an extraordinary condition. the acceleration in the biotech area is also ramping up. the example is the site-specific delivery of a protein within the body. all of this very interesting, but also has problems for regulation. the regulators have had their nice clean niches and this convergence cuts across domains. the second issue is the aging of the population creating a dilemma of funding for later age care. the moral challenge will be

Brown - neuroscience - we are seeing the interesting iteration between engineering and biology/neuro. for example, the way in which information is communicated within the brain. the neuron changes properties every time a signal is sent down a neuron. the control of information is an engineering domain. these principles are being used to understand the redundancy and plasticity that the brain has.

Kotick - entertainment - [Activision] - using playstation3 arrays to make visualization. a big realization for us was that consumers are driving convergence. take a group of 26 year olds who make games for a living for our company. they have a whole lot of different perceptions of what convergence is. consider one game with millions of participants - World of Warcraft - which is also a very powerful collaborative tool.

Geoff Moore - tell us more about the metaphor of the brain.

the brain is essentially being explored gene by gene. we are not yet at the point where we can take one cell and understand what it does. we know that the brain is such a complex entity that they are taking it apart from the cellular level all the way to system level at MIT. on the other hand, the system of the brain changes as pathways are used. this is fascinating from a control and adaptive standpoint. the amount of data generated by neuro-scientific research is immense, thus we see the convergence with physics and numerical analysis.

THEN a neuroscientist from Oxford chimed in with such an academic argument/disagreement that went on and one and on and on......she embodied everything that is wrong with an academic out in the real world......lost perspective.

ALL MODELS ARE WRONG, AND SOME ARE USEFUL

World of Warcraft - currently mapping the 10 millions participants - observing their interactions and behavioural patterns. this is like a city of 10 million. how will this impact our understanding of how we will be interacting in cities in the future.

Al Gore - update on Climate Change
Bono - update on Poverty
T Friedman - moderator

AG started off with an update from Bali. he also pointed out the vital nature of bringing these two issues.
B started off by asking that no one let his band know that he was awake this early. he then turned serious and shared the statistic that due to debt cancellation there are an additional 29 million children going to school. he also credited strong leadership in Africa. he then moved the G8 and its lack of promise fulfillment. he hoped that the countries would get their act together.

TF asked how they met and how are they working together.

they met about four years ago. AG points out that the relationship between climate change and poverty is very tight. the plans to alleviate poverty depend upon a program to provide food for thee impoverished. if the planet heats up by two degrees these plans will no longer function. AG pleaded for a better understanding of this. he pointed out that the G8 is a format for discussion and this kind of discussion is vital.

Bono then picked up with really great humour the incredibly difficult issue of how to wean ourselves from addition. he pointed out that oil has been really good for him. he believes in innovation as a way to find the future solutions. he also pointed out that the brunt of the climate change will be felt by the developing world. he also was not so sure of the state of emergency.

AG then chimed in that this is not just about changing light-bulbs, but changing laws so that Carbon has a price. in this way it can be incorporated into every business decision. he followed by noting that those who are now incorporating carbon considerations into their business decisions are at a disadvantage. not much progress will be made ntil there is a global price of carbon that effects everyone.

Bono hopes for coherence in foreign policy around the three extremes [ poverty, climate change, ideology ] after the next election. he hopes for this, but is concerned that there will be incrementalism, rather than the step change which is required. if you take a look at globalization, it has indeed taken quite a few out of poverty, but he asked if it was enough. the world need to be re-imagined... this needs to be anticipated. and really thought about like after WWI or WWII.

Gore followed-up citing the analysis of the questions posed to the candidates recently completed. it revealed that only three questions were posed on the environment. the media must get its act together to focus on real issues. he also picked up the re-imagination theme.

[[[[......I wonder how we can most effectively re-imagine this future......]]]]

TF - what one decision would you ask of a new president?
B - show a trajectory to deal with the millennium goals. we need to see real stability. the pentagon is starting to understand that SECURITY = STABILITY + DEVELOPMENT. he later followed up with the fact that social movements always win the day....

THE SELF-INTEREST MUST BE SERVED BY ACTING ON BOTH OF THESE ISSUES.

B - it is for him about justice - ADAPTATION FUND and education are the two things we have to focus on. get girls into schools around the world so that they have a chance for a better life which will have many rippling effects.

Session Title - If America Sneezes, Does the World Still Catch a Cold?
F Bergsten - Dir Peterson Institute for Intl Economics
C Siwei, Vice Chair, Standing Committee PRC
M Klein, Chair CEO Markets and Banking Citi
M Brauchli, Managing Editor, The Wall Street Journal
D McCormick, US Undersecretary of the Treasury

interesting session. i wonder what they really did not talk about. i feel that session really talked around the question, but really did not get to the meat of it.

what is your opinion of the US economy?
FB - the rest of the world will get the sniffles, but certainly not a cold. i believe that the world economy has certainly decoupled from the US. INDIA and CHINA now account for 50% of the world's economy. even if there is a slight slow down in China, there will be slowdown there from 11% to 9 or 10 %. the world as a whole will continue to grow. I also believe that we will see the first reverse-coupling... .this is when the others will help keep the US from falling too far. the mechanism is the trade balance. we have to remember that the US is no longer in a slowing. the internal market will stay low, but the international markets are expanding.

CS - i agree partially with FB. this is because the US is still the largest economy. the sub-prime crises might be over. it is my opinion that the US gov't has a policy of a weak dollar. the election year will also mean that little attention will be placed on this. i believe that the us economy will grow up to 3% next year. i believe that this year will will stick to the 8% growth goals. We overachieved in the economic area. China now has $1.5 trillion in foreign cash reserves. china has a huge excess liquidity. it is intended to reduce this in 2008. we also are heading towards fully convertible RMB.

MK - yes. if there is a sneeze, there will be a global impact. over 100 countries have grown at over 4% for the past decade [more or less]. this has been driven by three things
regulatory globalization
technology globalization
capital markets globalization
this has had a profound impact on the growth that i mention. the transformation of wealth and jobs. oil is a 4 trillion dollar business. 50% moves to four countries. the reverse-coupling will be important to make a soft landing.

DM - we have no doubt that the growth will slow. the question is not coupling. the three issues are - housing downturn, sub-prime crisis, and broad-based increase of commodities prices. these three are putting pressure on the economy. in order for the decoupling to be real, these threee issues must be decoupled. i do believe that the regulators are working on these three issues. The long standing policy is that only the US President and Sect Treasury speak to the policy of the dollar.

FB - one of my reasons for what i stated is the weak dollar. the trade balance has increased. the big improvement in the price competitiveness. the dollar has lost effective value of 25% and will still fall another 10%. we might see an export driven growth. I also have a problem believing that the surplus will drop in China. In reading all the numbers from the Govt, there is no way that it will drop. The Chinese surplus will soon approach the deficit of the US. this puts allot of pressure on the rest of the world to allow these flows to actually take place. in noting the actions o the Chinese Govt regarding the RMB which seem to be opposite of the intention to allow the RMB to float.

CS - we need to do three steps... 1 pegging to dollar, 2 pegging to a currency basket, 3 fully convertible. we changed this to referring to the dollar rather than pegging to the dollar. ..... just sell us a Space Shuttle and this would essentially take care of the deficit. you would be welcome to sell us high technology.

FB - we should not expect any immanent action by Congress to 'rock the financial markets' right now

MK - i believe that after we get thru this current phase of slow-down. we will realize that the current shift in economic structures of employment and industry is so deeply profound. the non-democratic companies are now the majority of the major growth countries. they are now 50% of the value weighted status; up from 10% in 1990. one of the significant issues is the relationship of commerce and State in these nations. upon what playing field do state-owned companies play? the ability to put up national walls is really almost unthinkable. will there be a backlash? in some areas yes. others not. we need to make sure that there is a clear amount of rhetoric so that the baby is not thrown out with the bath-water. the single most benefit of global liquidity has been the influx of liquidity from the new economies into the banks in the UK and US.

FB- it is quite incredible that the US congress did not know that the US is a debtor nation and needs $6 to 8 billion per day to survive. thus the Dubai Ports fiasco. today, they have a bit better understanding.... [[[i wonder how much?????]]]]

from the floor:
it seems that there are essentially three sources of liquidity concentration: Middle East due to oil/gas; Russia due to gas; China due to trade....interesting!

Yip De Boer -
James Rogers - CEO Duke Energy USA
Rajendra Pachauri - IPCC
Christian Mumenthaler - Chief Risk Officer, Swiss RE
Bruno Lescoeur - SR Exec VP EDF
Tulsi Tanti - Chair and MD Suzlon Energy

business as usual - IEA says, emissions up 50%. IPCC states we need to drop 50%. looming recession. challenge to reconcile both near-term commitments and log-term goals. so the quesiton is to the panel 'where do you think we will be in 50 years time?'

JR - cautiosly optomistic that the reduction will happen. over the next 25 years we see a rise. i believe that technology is the key. funding is key.
RP - i agree that technology is the key, but it is essential to provide a policy framework to price carbon appropriately.
CM - some positive trends today, but from all the evidence, we do not believe that the 50% target will be met. the big question mark is the opportunity for technology to close the gap. the mindset change in the past six months has been huge. there has been alot of money moving into new technologies on the back of this
BL - our company uses mostly nuclear, thus we are not a great emitters of greenhouse gasses. he did not give an opinion
TT - he also believed that technology will save the day.developed countries must focus on energy efficiency due to the inequality of consumptive patterns. everyone must focus on the average global consumption targets.

JR - what we really need is an arms race to become the most energy efficient. the bottom line is, we are beyond mitigation alone.
YDB - coal is a great lobbying force and we see coal-fired plants being built everywhere. do we have an alternative? china and india will double their energy need over the next 20 years.
TT - coal is clearly the easiest option. other resources must be considered. nuclear should be the base load provider and then the alternatives. india is the 4th largest producer of wind energy today and this is growing rapidly. renewable energy is growing rapidly in India

JR - as far as emissions....Duke is 3rd in the USA, 12th , 41st in the World. Duke is the largest consumer of coal for energy. now building two, the only two, in the US. Duke is building the largest coal gasification plant in the US. he stated that there are only five options to create energy:
coal, gas, oil, renewables, energy efficiency.

PP - lighting a billion lives

YDB - should we not be heading back home on monday, as we face a recession,

unless the US and China get into the game, there will be no game as far as climate change is concerned.
we need to get away from oil running cars. - look up Project Better Place

YDB - one of my jobs is to create a global framework over the next two years a way to achieve the goals that PP sets forward. not an easy task

what should a politician do?
TT - think globally first and then react locally.
BL - they need to listen to the other politicians first
JM - need to agree on a carbon target and get on with it
PP - equity and culture must be considered. moral imperative
JR - the time is now. cap and trade important.

Paul Saffo moderator - Institute for the Future
Angela Wilkinson - James Martin Institute for Science and Industry at Oxford
Peter Schwartz - Chairman GBN
jim Goodnight - CEO SAS institute.
Ian Goldin - director james martin 21st century school at Oxford.

interesting session. best bits are the rules which seemed to emerge.

Paul started off with a presentation of the panel
Ian - James MArtin endowed a centre to think about the challenges of the next decades....climate change, pandemics, population change, and the like. he focuses on longer term rather than short term. he looks a population dynamics. he also noted that one must be careful about the range of values that one considers. he also noted that the tools that we have can barely deal with the complexity of the current and emerging issues. the do quite a bit of work with nano and bio tech. nano is by its nature very unpredictable. the levels of knowledge in bio, specifically, really make forecasting an interesting new area. it also brings up very fascinating moral issues. technology will potentially drive us to an increased level of predictability as we also conftont all the social issues.

Jim . SAS makes software to help predict. there is a serious skills shortage in this area. the forcasting tools that they use are more around parts or credit card fraud or who to cross-sell to based on information data. they due sales forecasting based on past and future data.

PS - GBN tried to help others make better decisions in the face of uncertainty. he makes multiple scenarios. thus, he will be somewhat right and wrong. the real challenge is to get decision makers to listen so that they can reframe the questions. the problem is not the future part, but the decision map. most decision makers have clear mental maps that have worked for them, and is most likely the wrong one to use to deal with the change that is occurring. ie the real directional impacts of climate change. the future of biology.....what is the future of synthetic biology - it is both transformational and evolutionary.

AW - the past 50 years has seen a proliferation of tools, but we have a poverty of understanding of what works. she believes that forecasting works in some situations, but can also be fatal. what is a strategic decision making capacity?

PS - RULE 1 it is important to know when not to make a forecast.

IG - forecasting tools are really excellent when used appropriately. ie part needs for boeing, or package flows for DHL.

PS - in financial markets there are now very powerful mathematical tools to predict market dynamics over the short term. this works, except when it doesn't. this means that the equations which are used have boundary conditions. when the conditions change, then the equations can, and probably will, fail. another good example was the long-term viability of the sub-prime mortgage market. the challenge is to recognize, if not even to define, what the conditions are.

AW - there is a paradox in forecasting. we are addicted to predictions, yet know that they will be wrong. forecasting and undermine forecasting. forecasting assumes that there is a bit of continuity. when we ask around why they are using forecasting....'because everyone else is using them'.

GEOFF MOORE - 'most of us in the room are making bets every day. i see a disconnect between the scenarios and the mathmatical modelling. why is this and how can they converge? are we on the edge of qualitative forecasting?'

JG - we see forecasting that is really near-term estimations.

IG - we also believe that forecasting can really help - we are working on pandemics, to try to figure out what to do, to deal with the impact. i would rather have the govt based their reactions on his work than the gut reactions. ie who should get

PS - there are two classes of problems -one which has clear boundary conditions and the other which does not. ie a manufacturing line vs society. this means, ther eis a high dependence on the certainty/uncertaintly of the underlying assumptions. every model is a representation of a system.

Rule - any forecasts are better than no forecasts; and bad forecasts are also very useful.

AW - IPCC forecasting or not? she states that there was no double-loop learning. we are really bad a putting complexity tools to use.

Joe Nye - the danger is really that the more explicit one begins to believe in the predction. the vital part is to look at the What ifs.......the forecasting is a baseline. we have to continually challenge the believers.

PS - totally right. it is important to continually challenge their thinking. many prefer the delusion of certainty rather than stating the difficult questions. this leads to trying to understand the weak signals.

AW - each organization have cognitive filters. it is important that organizations have the capacity to catch the weak signals.

PS - Peter what was your worst forecasts?
PS - when i was in Mexico talking about the future of Mexico. we were totally wrong. the lesson was that we did not have enough diversity of opinion in the room.

RULE - never breathe your own exhaust
RULE - understand the mental map of those with whom you are working. if you do not understand their mental map, then you cannot help move them. ie what are the real goals? what is the language they understand? what external information will change the internal mental map?
RULE - forecasting is most successful in well bounded conditions

GEOFF MOORE - three different levels of certainty seem to be talked about here
well bounded - forecasting tools to be used
complexity that is not deterministic, but familiar -
complexity, that is unknown unknown that can only be understood by narrative.

AW - social messyness is an area of interest to me. we also have to respect social complexity. how do we get more effective social; cultural theorys to help.....we are looking at the story of wha tthe future of the city might be.
PG - the future isn't what it used to be. from paul valerie from 1932. the future was predictable until the creation of modern science. we need to understand motivations better.

Dave Weinberger, US Web 2.0 Guru. THE REALISM OF THE WEB

gave a great presentation about the way in which the web is being used to present itself. showed what a good structure and a bad structure might look like. focused on lateral communication. 'Deaniacs' story. Then went on to Twitter. the blogshere of less than 140 characters. it is really all about the intimacy of details.

conversation finds bugs. it is really important for finding those you can trust.
knowledge is between us. the knowledge is not really siting in our heads, it is on the web in-between people. he gave the example of how youngsters learn. they are collective learners, but we test them individually.

trust, credibility and accountability. encyclopedia vs wikipedia. the strength of wikipedia is that it is negotiated knowledge. this is really critical. one of the reasons that we know that this, is due to the fact that it admits that it is not an authority. this is in crass difference to those that are 'experts' like the new york times or the encyclopedia. paper based authority depended upon their singlularity. the god-like position negates the

generosity, intimacy, fallibility are fundamental human traits. we are social beings and these three characteristics are important to recognize. the web enables us to turn to each other and show each other not just our differences, but our similarities.

Wim Elfrink, Chief Globalization Officer, CISCO. GLOBALIZATION - A PARADIGM SHIFT

the past globalization focused on outsourcing and reducing costs. the new globalization effort will be focused on Growth, Innovation and Growth.

in 1820 the worlds top 10 economies were China, India France, UK, Prussia, Japan, Austria, Spain, US. Russia. He also showed the list from 2050 that i couldnt get down fast enough.
China, US, India, Japan, Brazil, Russia, UK, Germany, France, Italy
[http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/03/26/world-economies-to-2050-a-wealthier-planet/]

new area of wealth. there will be 200 million new urban dwellers in the next five years alone. mobility will be the platform to deal with the expanding middle class' purchasing power. managed and hosted services will connect rural areas in efforts to deal with the latent demand.
http://newsroom.cisco.com/dlls/2006/ts_120606.html

Innovation challenge will be to accept what is coming back from the developing world and to reintegrate into the economies of the western world.

skills challenge is the recognition that the engineering and science skill sets are located in the East. why india? the fundamental proximity to 70% of the world's population [5 hour flight] it is clear that if you are thinking about ten or twenty years out, that a significant presence in India is vital. It is also the youngest population. the talent is good and biggest democratic market. And India, epitomizes the human network.

Important issues for businesses around the world are
education
infrastructure
innovation and market transitions
supportive governments

his closing piece was on web 2.p0 collaborative strategy based around the telepresence suite. the next generation will be in 3D. he went on to talking about the challenge that this is posing for their corporate structure. telepresence will allow this for distributed executives in ways that are/were unprecedented. then a final slikde on the evolution of globalization...

1.0 was about trade
2.0 was about global manufacturing
3.0 is about R+D
4.0 is about the 'corporate brain' [co-creation and talent]

6000 mobile subsribers
4000 urban citizens
added in the past 30 minutes

jan Figel, European Commissioner. Education, Training, Culture and Youth. EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVES FOR EDUCATION AND CULTURE.

he started by pointing out that today is the international day of human rights. he spoke of perspective. he shared thoughts on the perspective of time. he noted that it has not been long that Europe has had a core of peace and that this must be remembered. there was a slogan in central europe that was....

'is there a man, there is a problem. is there no man, there is no problem' this was slogan during Stalinist times.

without life long learning, there will be less and less life long earning!

Ricardo Illy, President. Italian Region of Fruili-Vezia-Guilia. INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY FOR QUALITY IN PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION. [yes, this is the family of the coffee]

he talked about the issues around the current perception of the context of the world; the globalized economics and finances as well as information. there has been a transition from the industrial age to the knowledge age. this due to the competitiveness of lower labour costs which leads to a 'duty' to innovation. he described the resources and his program that has been implemented in his region.

in the QA at the end he was asked to compare the public sector and private sector leadership roles. he noted that there are not as many differences as one imagines. shareholders and citizens are very similar in their demands.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friuli-Venezia_Giulia
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riccardo_Illy
http://www.a-e-r.org/curriculum-vitae/riccardo-illy.html
http://www.riccardoilly.it/index_it.php

Rajeeva Ratna Shah. Indian Planing Commission Member Secretary. MAN IS THE MEASURE OF ALL THINGS

He spoke of various levels of data and technology having a relation to humans and society. He focused on the role and importance of the individual in society. it is the foundation of diversity so that individuality leads to innovation thru the diversity.

Liberty - to bring out the best of individuals, Justice - 'justice is a square number. it is in perfect harmony, since the number of its parts is equal to the value of each part' stated Pythagorean.
Equality -
Fraternity -

India has 1.1 billion people. it has an annual growth rate of 9%. it could be greater, but the rate has been moderated so that the growth does not lead to even more exclusion. They do have an e-Governance Infrastructure and program which is focused on any time delivery of services. one of the programs that is on-going is the Unique ID for every voter.

there is now a move from centralized planning to decentralized land planning. every local authority can now access village level planning. they have aggregated all their resource GIS systems into one.

he continued to talk about their many programs that are active at the government.

Dr Rashid Bajwa on the National Rural Support Programme: The Pakistan Case.

The 160 million population. Sound 7% growth. Poverty reduced from 34 to 25%...indicators are good, but the gap continues to increase. The trickle down effect does not work. In order to move ahead, there must be a clear understanding of the context of poverty. One of the key assumptions is that the most impoverished have the inherent ability and the willingness to improve the quality of their life. The model is essentially social mobiliztion; or better said to organize communities around their needs and strengths. People might be poor, but they are not stupid.

The NRSP model is a Non-Profit, like a 501C3, rather than a NGO, that then receives a seed capital ‘grant’ that is put into an endowment. Thus, the work of the entity is not influenced by the government. Thus an organization is created that has the flexibility of the Not for profit, with the systems of a corporate body and the credibility of the Government [*]

There is then a program which organizes the villagers into their own development plan. The key is to understand that is the HOUSEHOLD is the unit that needs to be addressed. And, the best way to develop the plan is to figure out a way to generate income at a household level. IF the work is focused at the village level, it will never be sustainable. The basic message is that the need is the organization of the poor rather than for the poor. AND there must be financial sustainability.

Lessons learned:
1. three kinds of people [visionary, implementer with commitment, political champion]
2. macro economic growth helps
3. programme rather than a project mode and financial sustainability is the key to long-term success
4. household is the engine of development
5. best success if it is driven by home governments
6. donors should follow rather than initiate
7. important to reduce the jobless rate.
8. Education does not need that individuals are employable; thus focus on technical capabilities is also really important

this was really interesting!

he introduced the CUD program...the RAND corporation was asked to figure out how to ensure that the US would survive an attack on its telecom system. PAUL BARAN suggested that the gov't should go to a fully distributed network, rather than a hub and spoke system.

CISCO made a committment to Clinton Global after the former president came to speak to the Board. John Chambers then said that the firm has to reduce this by the CARBON to COLLABORATION program. this was very effective in that it forced more tools to be developed. The second program is the CUD program. this program was founded one year ago. they found that emissions broke down as follows:

50% from buildings
25% from industry
25% from transportation

he told a story about when he was stuck in a traffic jam. he started to think about the options that he SHOULD have had. very compelling case for a unified information system. this is really about the 4th Utility. a new city infrastructure which provides:
1. content-based infrastructure that provides intelligence
2. open infrastructure that is used intelligently
3. symmetrical infrastructure that is designed intelligently
4. physical and virtual environment are intertwined thru services
5. location freedom due to the connection

the think-tank in SF will be 20/21st Fef

Federico Casalengno. Director, Mobile Experience Laboratory, MIT

presented the familiar MIT talk which gives next to no content and is a largly a promise. They have three areas that they are focusing on. One is a Sustainable Innovation Inventory [Gads, not yet another one!]. They are working with Amsterdam on the idea of a personalized bus [not again! Saarinen did this for Dulles Airport and they are being abandoned. I wonder if they have looked at any of the contemporary people mover systems]. In Seoul they are working on a personalized transportation device. [I saw this proposal demonstrated at the Irish branch of the Media Lab in 2000. I wonder what is new here?]. Finally, with SF they are thinking about ‘connected transportation’. [this has already been done in England…again, what is new? Perhaps only that MIT did not think of this before…] well, he did point out that the students are bright and creative.

Marijke Vos. Alderwoman from Amsterdam.

She spoke about how her city is now on the path to become the most sustainable city in Europe. She noted that there has been allot of talk, but the emissions are still growing. this is because economic growth is still tied to fossil fuel [true globally, but the example of DK shows differently]. their intention is to reduce emissions by 40% in two small steps and one large one. they are intending to use Ground Source Heating and Cooling to heat and cool the city. [surprising considering the water table!!!!] she also showed their program called 'Step2Save' which is to visit all homes in the country to help citizens learn about what they can do. this is essentially an employment program for jobless youth. she also mentioned that they will be using waste to fuel CHP plants.

they are also doing a GreenIT program. it is further their goal to be a carbon neutral city by 2050. part of this is the personal traffic management program for city workers as a prototype. this is coming along, but slowly.

the city of san francisco is partnering with 30 cities to attempt to reduce effects of climate change. he started with a bit of a preamble about climate change. there is a target to be 20% lower than 1990 levels by 2012. their breakdown of emissions is also calculated at 50% from transportation with 25% from cars. their city vehicles run on biodiesel [ie fire trucks and police cars] to demonstrate to the public that it does work.

buildings. 65% of all energy emissions so the city is working on Legislative tools to help change behaviours. All municipal buildings must be LEED silver, priority permitting for LEED gold, and now exploring LEED gold for ALL city construction.

transport. instead of a payroll tax, there will be a carbon tax depending on distance travelled. in this way, business will then become responsible for the business miles travelled by their employees. this is a major issue and depends upon rich data.

energy efficiency. partnering with businesses and homes to save energy and money. departments must take a look at all of their purchases to ensure that their purchases are based upon the 'precautionary principle' to get the best available.

renewables. solar panels are being installed all over the city. this is both on municipal and commercial properties. the goal is for increased in-city generation. there is also an intent to put tidal energy can be harnessed from the coastal tides.

recycling. currently at 69%, which is the best in the states. goal is to get to 75% in 2010 and by 2020 it should be zero. soon there will be stickers to name and shame those who do not participate. stickers on the cans. there will be charges after they have been warned.

direct impact of IT. he talked about the first order, second order and third order effects. same as Yvon talked about.....First, is the direct impact of IT, Second is the impact of applications, the Third is the long-term socio-economic changes.

these are very much into PPP!

the afternoon session was opened by Bas Boorsma and Wolfgang Wagener who are part of te Connected Urban Development project which is a joint commitment between CISCO and three cities [Seoul, Amsterdam, San Francisco] to investigate ways in which to reduce CO2 emissions. It is really all about.

80% of emissions are due to cities which means that there is a large responsibility to take action. Both believe that if we can do a better job with connectivity and transparency of information then we can indeed make inroads into this.

the city of stockholm then gave a comment. she talked about the beauty and cleanliness of the environment here. they will have a system which will allow one to look at the air quality, street-by-street, on an hour-by-hour basis soon. 80% of houses in the city are part of the district heating program. about the same percentage is used to convert to heat. a large percentage of the energy is emission free and there is a goal to increase this. 381 ethonol and 50 bio busses.

Peter Gruetter - BORN TO BE CONNECTED
he started out with a brief resume of how Switzerland's mercenaries were one of the earliest european knowledge networks. a bit of a stretch. he talked about how the nation really did not fit into the standard industrial centralized model. they have always been required to adapt to the context around them. he led? the renovation of the federal finance system to give an equal position to the states and federal gov't. they also harmonized their IT infrastructure in the late 90's.

'only those who use their freedom will remain free'

he focused on innovation and put up the graphic which shoed the most innovative nations....sweden, switzerland, finland, denmark, japan, and germany are on the top. [i wonder why this is? all of them are in one way very socialistic and highly democratic]

[great image of the rings of a tree cut to talk about change and seasonal variation and complexity]

[http://www.gallup.com/poll/21811/American-Beliefs-Evolution-vs-Bibles-Explanation-Human-
Origins.aspx]
[http://www.publicopinionpros.com/features/2006/aug/bishop_printable.asp]

Harald Lemke, German State of Hesse State Sect and CIO. GERMANY 115 - A BRIDGE BETWEEN CITIZENS AND THE GOVERNMENT.

The german Government is unifying their public services switchboard into one telephone number...115. 80% of questions should be able to be answered with this first call. its intention is to turn the administrations into more responsive entities rather than unresponsive elephants. the 115 project will be regionalized so that all over the nation anyone anywhere need only call one number to know how to get to gov't services. it is also an acknowledgment of the need of a nationwide policy for information access.

http://www.megovconf-lisbon.gov.pt/index.php?option=content&task=view&id=51

Nomhie Canca. Chief Executive of South Africa's Blue IQ Company. UNLEASHING THE POWER OF THE PEOPLE.
educated in the US, but went back to SA to found many of the women's empowerment movement. she is now working for Blue IQ which is an agency of the government. its mandate is governed by the Gauteng province to find a sustainable relationship between the government and private sector. all of her projects must find their own legs over time. her economic impact is measured and a win-win solution is the goal of all projects. one of these is the provision of broadband to the greatest range of citizens as possible. this is called B-link:
1. digital inclusion - broadband access for everyone
2. social/global inclusion - incubate the region for national replication
3. service delivery - provide more efficient govt and social services
4. economic development - having an impact

health issues dominate the requirements of the citizens and the areas that they expect gov't to help. they are going to do not only the broadband network, but also the last mile AND, most importantly, the last inch.

http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=250108&area=/insight/insight__economy__business/
http://www.theinnovationhub.com/profiles.cfm
http://www.theinnovationhub.com/NewsBits/vol3no9/news03.cfm

Yvon Le Roux, VP Public Sector, CISCO. INNOVATION FOR SUSTAINABILITY is the title of his talk. he opened with the results of the public services survey. the overwhelming view was the need to innovate. he brought up the definition of insanity...doing the same thing over and over again and expecting to get a different result. Credit Suisse predicted that China's electric needs will continue to rise at 11%. this has made China the largest absolute producer of greenhouse gasses. the fact that Al Gore and the IPCC won the Nobel Peace Prize means that the world picture has changed. Energy and Climate change are now part of every business leaders developing vocabulary. thus there are a few issues to better understand:
1. Understanding the Direct REsult of Electricity Consumption of IT and itc CO2 impact
2. Impact of Applications that can lower the CO2 of our infrastructure
3. Long-term socio-economic changes based on new models

'we have seen the iceberg; ours is melting' this he used as his as his rallying call for the summit. we need technologies which will allow the developing nations to develop without the continued radical climb in CO2.

he quoted OULU, in Finland as being one of the best examples of integration of technology into their economy. incredibly innovative.......[[[[must go there!]]]]]

Preston Jay Waite, Deputy Director of the US Census Bureau. THE 21st CENTURY CENSUS.
he gave a great overview of the challenges that the Census faces. he brought wonderful mid-western humor to a very serious issue. how do you keep current? he is reengineering the 2010 Decennial Census Program. there is a misalignment between the GIS data and the street centre line data that the bureau uses. it costs about $10billion to make a census. his challenge it to get rid of paper. they are going to use hand-held devices to collect the data for the next one. the last one in 2000 used way too much paper and this will be a digital census.

a few really good lessons.....
2. DO NOT automate the questions, automate the data collection process.
3. DO NOT underestimate the End User
4. Automation cannot replace Interpersonal Communication
5. Training Presents New Challenges and Opportunities

count everybody once and only once and in the right place

http://www.census.gov/
http://www.census.gov/pubinfo/www/bios/jay_waite_bio.html

Opened by the ever present Simon Willis who framed the context of change. This summit is co-hosted by CISCO and the City of Stockholm.

Kristina Alvendal, Vice Mayor of Stockholm. The city is striving to become the capital of the world as far as internet integration is concerned. this is based upon a clear collaboration between business and political realms. she pointed out that it also depends upon a well educated public to understand and take advantage of the opportunity. further, that one of the most important roles of politics is to prepare, and deal with, change as it is happening as well as anticipated. 80% of all Swedes have access to the internet. 'IT is the steam engine of contemporary society'.

over the next three days, i will be sending notes from the this event that is put on by CISCO. these dates are chosen so that the participants can also attend the Nobel Peace Prize concert in Oslo at the end of the conference. I enjoyed seeing familiar faces at the opening reception tonight. I will be speaking tomorrow in the Connected Urban Development specialist session.

56 countries in which Islam is the major religion.

from springfield, ohio. worked at boston consulting for thre years before coming back to music. he played a piece that was beautiful. he talked about some of his efforts to create the 'showme' campaign. he then played his song....'show me'
and then a song titled 'ordiary people'

http://www.johnlegend.com/
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Legend
http://www.showmecampaign.org/index1.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jay_Keasling
https://keaslinglab.lbl.gov/wiki/index.php/Main_Page

she created a non-profit global drug company. to take health care affordable for the lowest casts of India. she called them the line at the base of the pyramid. the diesese that they wanted to erradicate was kala-azar. it was an incredible job. bill and melindaa gates have commited to erradicating malaria and she is part of this effort.

some of the greatest obsticles has been human intervention and/or lack of action. she also pointed out that HOW you do your work is even more important than the what. the HOW will really determine the true magnitude of the impact.

poor people have no voince in this industry. there are so many diseases in the world that are killing hundres of thousands of individuals who are at the base of the pyramid and the global drug companies are not working on these. the reason is simple - no profit in this area.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victoria_Hale
http://www.oneworldhealth.org/about/our_team.php

four legged style of movement.

the body reconsidered.
talked abot the human skin and its incredible complexity.' the sensory homunculus' represents the proportional sensitivity. she showed quite a bit about grooming and touching and its tole in social interaction. humans are self-decorating apes. cosmetics and tatoos are both ancient. in our skin is our humanity. stripped of the skin, we really are alike. she reminded us all that we have come from a world of touching. 40 million years of evolution developed our sensitity. do not turn our backs on it.

http://www.anthro.psu.edu/faculty_staff/Jablonski.shtml

fisherman's ecological knowledge and managing fisheries.
he spoke about the local fisheries situation. the third collapse in his lifetime is underway. he talked about some of the efforts to understand what has happened by lookig at historical data. and, about his plans to continue to get them back up to productive capacity.

[http://www.nationalgeographic.com/emerging/esala.html]
a passionate person who focuses on the ocean.
he has been going to pristine coral reefs to get a better understanding of their function.
Christmas Island is the largest coral island. when captiain cook discovered the lagoon, there were thousends of sharks and today there are none. the coral reef is covered with algae and is essntially dead.
he went on to show three others that were better condition. endig with Kingman Reef

in a pristine reef, the food chain is inverted. the top predators make up most of the biomass and herbavoirs the least.

how have we killed coral reefs?
1. removed everything big and reduced biomass
2. inverted the biomass
3. replacing corals with seaweed
4. enhancing microbial explosions
5. reduced resilience

another wow.

this is so distrubing that i had to go to David Suzuki's webiste to show what this is.....from http://www.davidsuzuki.org/Oceans/Sust_fisheries/Trawling/

A large percentage of fish captured in global fisheries and in Canadian waters is caught using a bottom trawl or dragger. Bottom trawling involves pulling large nets along the ocean floor. All gear types that contact the ocean bottom have the potential to disrupt seafloor habitat. Bottom trawling, however, has been acknowledged as the most destructive form of fishing commercially practised.

The impacts from bottom trawling on seafloor habitats and species have been globally and scientifically recognized, and can be broadly categorized into habitat and species impacts.

Of immediate concern is the practice of deep-sea bottom trawling on the high seas. The deep-sea trawl fishery is relatively new and has emerged thanks to both gear m